Как по мне, цены на металл и углеводороды полностью вписываются в beta к общему рынку.
[Dow Jones] Barclays Capital prefers RUB, KZT, UAH to central and Eastern European currencies since PLN, HUF, CZK have only continued to firm on the back of beta drivers. BarCap adds it's not downplaying these drivers but the alpha in CEE currencies is lacking right now and the risk-adjusted carry isn't especially appealing either. "This could change once we get some clarity on Fidesz [party's] government policy in Hungary and once a new
governor is installed at the national Bank of Poland. But for now, it sees better value elsewhere in EMEA forex, where country specific flows dovetail with attractive valuations, to argue for putting on bullish trades."